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Why Soybeans Are Two Different Animals (Farm Journal)

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Why Soybeans Are Two Different Animals (Farm Journal)

Determining what to do with soybeans can be tricky business, experts tell the U.S. Farm Report Market Roundtable. On the one hand, there is great opportunity. On the other hand, the prospect of a big 2014 crop means the price outlook might be very different in a year.

"Beans are kind of two animals, the way I look at it," says Brian Roach, Roach Ag. Marketing, Ltd. "When you look at the old crop, I think there’s going to be plenty of opportunities to sell beans at levels that farmers enjoy. We’re coming up here on another window to sell $13 cash beans out of the bin, and I think that’s a pretty simple one to look at. The trickier one here is the new crop and what’s going to happen with South America."

First, there continue to be infrastructure challenges limiting South America’s ability to ship the crop to buyers such as China. The situation hasn’t improved much. Second, it has an impressive capacity for soybean production year after year.

"We have a big crop coming, their summer growing season is really January, February. How does that really look?" Roach says. "Because if you look at last year for comparisons, once that crop down there was made and we were comfortable that the numbers were going to be no surprises, beans dropped $1.50 from February into April and then rallied on U.S. weather that was problematic later on in the year. The tricky part here is to get beans sold at levels that farmers can make money and not miss that window."

What makes that an even greater challenge is the possibility of an unprecedented U.S. soybean crop.


November 25, 2013

By: Nate Birt, Farm Journal Social Media and News Editor

 

Categories: | Tags: Soybeans , US Farm Report , Brian Roach , Farm Journal , New Crop Beans | Comments: (0) | View Count: (3309) | Return

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These data and comments are provided for information purposes only and are not intended to be used for specific trading strategies. This commentary is written as a daily marketing tool to help farmers sell the grain they raise. Although all information is believed to be reliable, we cannot guarantee its accuracy or completeness. Past performance and testimonials are not necessarily indicative of future results. Commodity trading involves the risk of loss, and you should fully understand those risks before trading.