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Archive by author: Roach AgReturn
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11

July USDA Supply & Demand

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Today’s USDA Reports increased corn production by about 200 million bushels due to increased harvested acreage. Bean production was cut about 300 million bushels due to 1.0 bushel per acre smaller yield and smaller harvested acreage.
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28

June Acreage & Quarterly Grain Stocks

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For weeks we have been telling readers that crop prices are up because of spec fund buying, not supply demand fundamentals. Today we got the USDA’s newest fundamental update.
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10

June USDA Supply & Demand

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The USDA surprised traders with smaller production numbers than were expected. Traders immediately bid crop prices up from the lower levels seen all day...
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10

May USDA Supply & Demand

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Today's report confirmed expectations the USDA would project another year with large crop carryouts...
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09

April USDA Supply & Demand

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Today's USDA Report numbers came in as expected in pre-report estimates. This report factored in updated usage data from the March Quarterly Grain Stocks report and contained no changes to U.S. production.
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29

March Planting Intentions & Grain Stocks

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The initial impression from today's reports is there is more corn in the bin than traders had expected and farmers (at least when they were surveyed earlier this month) intended to plant more corn acres than anticipated.
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08

March USDA Supply & Demand

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Today’s USDA Supply & Demand report had little change from last month. The biggest surprise was...
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U.S. corn production was down 206 million bushels from the November report on a 1.9 bushel per acre reduction in yield and a slight reduction in harvested acres. Ending stocks were down just 73 million bushels however as the USDA reduced imports, feed, residual, and ethanol use.
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11

December USDA Supply & Demand

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The USDA just released updated estimates for U.S. and world supply & demand. The USDA made minor adjustment to U.S. corn demand & imports, cutting ethanol production by 50 million.....
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08

November USDA Supply & Demand

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The USDA just released their world and U.S. crop estimates and U.S. corn and bean yields were both cut. Prices rallied but were quickly driven lower by what looked like massive selling. At least it was massive enough to absorb all of the buying and take prices lower on the day. We hope you took advantage of our corn Sell Signal to get the sales made you needed. The Sell Signal ended with the decline in corn prices this afternoon, but if you need money now, don’t wait to sell some corn. ...
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These data and comments are provided for information purposes only and are not intended to be used for specific trading strategies. This commentary is written as a daily marketing tool to help farmers sell the grain they raise. Although all information is believed to be reliable, we cannot guarantee its accuracy or completeness. Past performance and testimonials are not necessarily indicative of future results. Commodity trading involves the risk of loss, and you should fully understand those risks before trading.