November USDA Supply & Demand

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The trade was not given the ultra-bearish corn outlook expected in today’s WASDE update. Corn ending stocks were adjusted higher but well below the average trade guess by 142 million bushels. Stocks increased by just 32 million bushels from the September report. A 1.9 million acre reduction in harvested acres offset the higher yield estimate by 139 million bushels. Good news was seen in higher demand estimates for U.S. feed, (increased 100 million bushels) and a higher export estimate from the ...
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Categories: | Tags: USDA Report , November Supply/Demand , Acre Reduction | View Count: (2957)

Changes to November Crop Production Report

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USDA’s National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) will publish information in the November 8th Crop Production report that was originally scheduled for release in the October report. This includes:
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Report Schedule Update

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A number of agricultural estimates reports issued by the U.S. Department of Agriculture’s National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) were impacted by the lapse in federal funding. As a result, NASS made a number of changes to its report schedule. Below is the updated schedule for all reports originally scheduled for release in October:
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September USDA Supply & Demand

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Traders received a more bearish look at corn ending stocks as the USDA raised corn yields from their August report, from 154.4 bu/ acre to 155.3 bu/acre. The increased corn yield can be attributed to better than expected ear counts than the previous report. Corn planted and harvested numbers remain unchanged so expect the October report to square up that side of corn production. Demand numbers were also left completely unchanged.
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August USDA Supply & Demand

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Traders and analysts were caught off guard in today’s latest corn and soybean guidance from the USDA. The bullish production update will surely temp the mostly short specs to offset positions, helping to propel corn and beans higher. Overall, the USDA left cash prices only slightly adjusted higher, telling the trade they still expect supplies to gain substantially over last year. We expect traders to adjust their bean yield outlook dependent on critical late August weather and while wheat value...
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Categories: | Tags: USDA Report | View Count: (2616)

July USDA Supply & Demand

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Today’s USDA supply demand estimates had their biggest changes in wheat due to better than expected usage. U.S. 2012-13 wheat stocks decreased 28 million bushels and world stocks for the crop year ended June 30th were cut by 5.5 million tons from last month. New crop 2013-14 U.S. wheat stocks were reduced 83 million bushels to 576 million and world stocks were cut by 8.3 million tons, to 172.38 million tons.
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Categories: | Tags: USDA Report | View Count: (2353)
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These data and comments are provided for information purposes only and are not intended to be used for specific trading strategies. This commentary is written as a daily marketing tool to help farmers sell the grain they raise. Although all information is believed to be reliable, we cannot guarantee its accuracy or completeness. Past performance and testimonials are not necessarily indicative of future results. Commodity trading involves the risk of loss, and you should fully understand those risks before trading.